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There has been a lot of debate in recent years about the development of commercial markets for carbon credits. There is evidence that changing the land use from agriculture to forestry could result in up to 200 tonnes of carbon per hectare being locked up over 80–100 years. If a market developed for this process (known as carbon sequestration), farmers might be able to ‘sell’ part of the carbon trapped in their forests. Estimates of the value of a ton of carbon range from two dollars to more than ten dollars.

But implementing carbon credit sales might not be all good news for Australian farmers. Under the Kyoto Protocol, only forests planted since 1990 on previously cleared land would be eligible for the generation of carbon credits. There is also uncertainty about what will happen when the current protocol ends in 2012.

Questions about how land use is defined must also be resolved before any carbon credit sales program can be introduced. In particular, the question about the extent to which the sale of carbon credits represents the sale of a change in land use needs to be clarified. Future international environmental protocols might determine that selling carbon credits represents a change in land use. If this happens, farmers might be required to buy back their carbon credits if they want to return the land to agricultural production.

The cost of monitoring and marketing carbon credits might make selling credits impractical for most farmers. Irrespective of implementation costs, it appears likely that forest owners would only be able to sell a small proportion of the actual carbon held in the forest. This may allow less precise low-cost measurement and monitoring methods to be adopted.

Public concern about the greenhouse effect has led to increased interest in revegetation programs from industry, governments and community groups. Despite the lack of formal markets and contracts, farmers are already benefiting from this increased interest. Farmers own most of the cleared land available for conversion to forests for carbon sequestration. This means they can benefit from people’s desire to contribute, or be seen to contribute, to reducing the greenhouse effect.

However, because some agricultural practices—for example, land clearing and intensive animal production—are seen as significant sources of greenhouse gases there is also pressure on farmers to reduce their own impact or pay a penalty. This could mean that farmers themselves will need to pay the cost of growing forests for carbon – as a means of offsetting their own contribution to the problem – before being able to sell carbon credits to others.

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